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icon for Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Politics·Main Election

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

icon for Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Politics·Main Election

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot 52.8%

Benjamin Netanyahu 29%

Naftali Bennett 8%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.4%

Polymarket

$38,559,125 Vol.

Gadi Eizenkot 52.8%

Benjamin Netanyahu 29%

Naftali Bennett 8%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.4%

Polymarket

$38,559,125 Vol.

icon for Gadi Eizenkot

Gadi Eizenkot

$2,233,982 Vol.

53%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$4,284,115 Vol.

29%

icon for Naftali Bennett

Naftali Bennett

$3,173,842 Vol.

8%

icon for Avigdor Lieberman

Avigdor Lieberman

$2,731,323 Vol.

3%

icon for Ofer Winter

Ofer Winter

$282,446 Vol.

2%

icon for Itamar Ben Gvir

Itamar Ben Gvir

$1,585,391 Vol.

1%

icon for Yossi Cohen

Yossi Cohen

$2,699,429 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yair Golan

Yair Golan

$2,372,384 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yoaz Hendel

Yoaz Hendel

$1,645,956 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amir Ohana

Amir Ohana

$2,567,833 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yair Lapid

Yair Lapid

$1,604,376 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benny Gantz

Benny Gantz

$2,247,015 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gideon Sa’ar

Gideon Sa’ar

$2,296,595 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yariv Levin

Yariv Levin

$1,897,920 Vol.

<1%

icon for Moshe Feiglin

Moshe Feiglin

$1,929,278 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ayelet Shaked

Ayelet Shaked

$1,859,104 Vol.

<1%

icon for Israel Katz

Israel Katz

$844,482 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nir Barkat

Nir Barkat

$1,581,661 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gilad Erdan

Gilad Erdan

$721,993 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gadi Eisenkot leads the market as the frontrunner to become Israel's next prime minister because his new Yashar party consistently tops or matches Likud in recent polls, positioning it to secure the most seats ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. As a former IDF chief of staff emphasizing security priorities, Eisenkot has drawn support from centrist and center-right voters disillusioned with the incumbent government’s handling of the post-October 2023 conflicts. Benjamin Netanyahu remains a viable contender through Likud’s organizational strength and right-wing bloc alliances, though polls show his party trailing slightly and facing criticism over security failures. Naftali Bennett’s Together list and Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu register lower probabilities, reflecting narrower paths to assembling a 61-seat coalition amid surplus-vote agreements and bloc negotiations. Recent candidate-list submissions and head-to-head preference surveys have reinforced trader consensus around these standings.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,559,125
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gadi Eisenkot leads the market as the frontrunner to become Israel's next prime minister because his new Yashar party consistently tops or matches Likud in recent polls, positioning it to secure the most seats ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. As a former IDF chief of staff emphasizing security priorities, Eisenkot has drawn support from centrist and center-right voters disillusioned with the incumbent government’s handling of the post-October 2023 conflicts. Benjamin Netanyahu remains a viable contender through Likud’s organizational strength and right-wing bloc alliances, though polls show his party trailing slightly and facing criticism over security failures. Naftali Bennett’s Together list and Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu register lower probabilities, reflecting narrower paths to assembling a 61-seat coalition amid surplus-vote agreements and bloc negotiations. Recent candidate-list submissions and head-to-head preference surveys have reinforced trader consensus around these standings.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,559,125
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gadi Eizenkot" at 53%, followed by "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" has generated $38.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" is "Gadi Eizenkot" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.