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Politics·Bibi

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

icon for Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
Politics·Bibi

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

$477,873 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$477,873 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$6,855 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israeli President Isaac Herzog holds sole authority to grant clemency in Netanyahu’s long-running corruption cases, but the request submitted in late November 2025 remains stalled in the Justice Ministry review process. A March 2026 legal opinion explicitly declined to recommend action absent an admission of guilt, resignation, or conviction, citing the absence of precedent for mid-trial pardons. Herzog has signaled a preference for a plea arrangement first. U.S. President Trump has applied repeated public and private pressure for a full pardon, yet Israeli procedural norms and Herzog’s public comments have kept probabilities low. No resolution appears imminent before the December 31, 2026, market cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$477,873
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israeli President Isaac Herzog holds sole authority to grant clemency in Netanyahu’s long-running corruption cases, but the request submitted in late November 2025 remains stalled in the Justice Ministry review process. A March 2026 legal opinion explicitly declined to recommend action absent an admission of guilt, resignation, or conviction, citing the absence of precedent for mid-trial pardons. Herzog has signaled a preference for a plea arrangement first. U.S. President Trump has applied repeated public and private pressure for a full pardon, yet Israeli procedural norms and Herzog’s public comments have kept probabilities low. No resolution appears imminent before the December 31, 2026, market cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$477,873
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 9%, followed by "June 30" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?" has generated $477.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?" is "December 31" at just 9%, with "June 30" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.