The 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial contest remains tightly balanced between frontrunners JHC and Renan Filho, with recent polling averages showing minimal separation and reflecting trader consensus on an uncertain outcome. JHC, who stepped down as Maceió mayor in April, benefits from local alliances including a vice-governor pact that split from the Calheiros group, while Renan Filho draws on his prior governorship, Senate tenure, and recent role as transport minister. Exchanges of criticism on social policy and voter profiles have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October first-round vote, with both candidates positioned for a potential runoff. Fragmented opposition candidacies and shifting coalitions continue to limit any decisive lead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJHC 42%
Renan Filho 41%
Márcio Jambo 18%
Lenilda Luna 0
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
JHC
42%
Renan Filho
41%
Márcio Jambo
18%
Lenilda Luna
45%
JHC 42%
Renan Filho 41%
Márcio Jambo 18%
Lenilda Luna 0
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
JHC
$0 Vol.
42%
Renan Filho
$0 Vol.
41%
Márcio Jambo
$0 Vol.
18%
Lenilda Luna
$20 Vol.
45%
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial contest remains tightly balanced between frontrunners JHC and Renan Filho, with recent polling averages showing minimal separation and reflecting trader consensus on an uncertain outcome. JHC, who stepped down as Maceió mayor in April, benefits from local alliances including a vice-governor pact that split from the Calheiros group, while Renan Filho draws on his prior governorship, Senate tenure, and recent role as transport minister. Exchanges of criticism on social policy and voter profiles have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October first-round vote, with both candidates positioned for a potential runoff. Fragmented opposition candidacies and shifting coalitions continue to limit any decisive lead.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volume
$20Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial contest remains tightly balanced between frontrunners JHC and Renan Filho, with recent polling averages showing minimal separation and reflecting trader consensus on an uncertain outcome. JHC, who stepped down as Maceió mayor in April, benefits from local alliances including a vice-governor pact that split from the Calheiros group, while Renan Filho draws on his prior governorship, Senate tenure, and recent role as transport minister. Exchanges of criticism on social policy and voter profiles have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October first-round vote, with both candidates positioned for a potential runoff. Fragmented opposition candidacies and shifting coalitions continue to limit any decisive lead.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial contest remains tightly balanced between frontrunners JHC and Renan Filho, with recent polling averages showing minimal separation and reflecting trader consensus on an uncertain outcome. JHC, who stepped down as Maceió mayor in April, benefits from local alliances including a vice-governor pact that split from the Calheiros group, while Renan Filho draws on his prior governorship, Senate tenure, and recent role as transport minister. Exchanges of criticism on social policy and voter profiles have kept momentum fluid ahead of the October first-round vote, with both candidates positioned for a potential runoff. Fragmented opposition candidacies and shifting coalitions continue to limit any decisive lead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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