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icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place
Monde·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place

icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place
Monde·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place

Romeu Zema 33%

Renan Santos 32%

Ronaldo Caiado 18%

Michelle Bolsonaro 4.8%

Polymarket

$283,028 Vol.

Romeu Zema 33%

Renan Santos 32%

Ronaldo Caiado 18%

Michelle Bolsonaro 4.8%

Polymarket

$283,028 Vol.

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$10,778 Vol.

33%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$63,924 Vol.

32%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$16,763 Vol.

18%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$4,817 Vol.

5%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$14,354 Vol.

4%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$7,036 Vol.

3%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$5,361 Vol.

1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$6,116 Vol.

1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$4,260 Vol.

1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$4,092 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$2,559 Vol.

1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$654 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$4,328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$39,622 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$4,536 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$93,501 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$354 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The fragmented Brazilian right keeps the contest for third place in the October 2026 first round tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Romeu Zema a narrow edge over Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Zema's established profile as Minas Gerais governor and Novo party standard-bearer provides regional backing, while Santos, as Missão party president and Free Brazil Movement co-founder, draws support from anti-corruption and libertarian-leaning voters. Caiado's recent PSD nomination adds another center-right option, yet persistent vote-splitting among these figures and limited national polling separation sustain the close market positioning. Party conventions scheduled before August and new survey data on voter consolidation could widen gaps before the first-round vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$283,028
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The fragmented Brazilian right keeps the contest for third place in the October 2026 first round tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Romeu Zema a narrow edge over Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Zema's established profile as Minas Gerais governor and Novo party standard-bearer provides regional backing, while Santos, as Missão party president and Free Brazil Movement co-founder, draws support from anti-corruption and libertarian-leaning voters. Caiado's recent PSD nomination adds another center-right option, yet persistent vote-splitting among these figures and limited national polling separation sustain the close market positioning. Party conventions scheduled before August and new survey data on voter consolidation could widen gaps before the first-round vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$283,028
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Romeu Zema » à 33%, suivi de « Renan Santos » à 32%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 33¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place » a généré $283K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 11, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place » est « Romeu Zema » à 33%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Renan Santos » à 32%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.