Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin’s strong performance in the June 2 primary, where he secured roughly 54 percent to advance against Republican Armen Kurdian, reinforces trader consensus in a district rated Likely Democratic with a partisan voting index around D+7. The coastal Southern California seat, covering areas such as northern San Diego County, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and Levin’s established name recognition and fundraising provide structural advantages ahead of the November general election. With no major recent developments or competitive polling shifts reported since the primary, the wide margin reflects the limited path for a Republican upset in this environment. Still, late-cycle national headwinds, unusually high turnout among one party, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-49 House Election Winner
CA-49 House Election Winner
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Democratic Party
$3,636 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$795 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin’s strong performance in the June 2 primary, where he secured roughly 54 percent to advance against Republican Armen Kurdian, reinforces trader consensus in a district rated Likely Democratic with a partisan voting index around D+7. The coastal Southern California seat, covering areas such as northern San Diego County, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and Levin’s established name recognition and fundraising provide structural advantages ahead of the November general election. With no major recent developments or competitive polling shifts reported since the primary, the wide margin reflects the limited path for a Republican upset in this environment. Still, late-cycle national headwinds, unusually high turnout among one party, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,431Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin’s strong performance in the June 2 primary, where he secured roughly 54 percent to advance against Republican Armen Kurdian, reinforces trader consensus in a district rated Likely Democratic with a partisan voting index around D+7. The coastal Southern California seat, covering areas such as northern San Diego County, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and Levin’s established name recognition and fundraising provide structural advantages ahead of the November general election. With no major recent developments or competitive polling shifts reported since the primary, the wide margin reflects the limited path for a Republican upset in this environment. Still, late-cycle national headwinds, unusually high turnout among one party, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,431Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin’s strong performance in the June 2 primary, where he secured roughly 54 percent to advance against Republican Armen Kurdian, reinforces trader consensus in a district rated Likely Democratic with a partisan voting index around D+7. The coastal Southern California seat, covering areas such as northern San Diego County, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and Levin’s established name recognition and fundraising provide structural advantages ahead of the November general election. With no major recent developments or competitive polling shifts reported since the primary, the wide margin reflects the limited path for a Republican upset in this environment. Still, late-cycle national headwinds, unusually high turnout among one party, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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