Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project a Lucknow maximum of 38–41°C on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies, anchoring trader consensus on the 41°C-or-below outcome at 66.5%. Lingering moisture from earlier western disturbances and scattered thunderstorm activity has suppressed daytime heating several degrees below the seasonal 40–43°C climatological baseline for the Ganges Plain. Strong solar insolation could push readings toward 42–43°C if drier air arrives, yet minimal model spread in short-range guidance keeps higher brackets at low single-digit probabilities. Official observatory data will resolve the market at sunset, with any final IMD adjustment likely to refine positioning before close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 17 mai ?
41°C or below 62%
42°C 28%
43°C 5.5%
44°C 2.6%
$17,476 Vol.
$17,476 Vol.
41°C or below
62%
42°C
28%
43°C
5%
44°C
3%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 62%
42°C 28%
43°C 5.5%
44°C 2.6%
$17,476 Vol.
$17,476 Vol.
41°C or below
62%
42°C
28%
43°C
5%
44°C
3%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts project a Lucknow maximum of 38–41°C on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies, anchoring trader consensus on the 41°C-or-below outcome at 66.5%. Lingering moisture from earlier western disturbances and scattered thunderstorm activity has suppressed daytime heating several degrees below the seasonal 40–43°C climatological baseline for the Ganges Plain. Strong solar insolation could push readings toward 42–43°C if drier air arrives, yet minimal model spread in short-range guidance keeps higher brackets at low single-digit probabilities. Official observatory data will resolve the market at sunset, with any final IMD adjustment likely to refine positioning before close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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