Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts from the National Meteorological Center projecting a daytime peak of 18-19°C under persistent southeast winds at Beaufort force 3-4 (7-10 m/s). Cool maritime air advection from the adjacent Yellow Sea suppresses daytime heating despite ample solar insolation and clear skies, with morning lows near 15°C well below the mid-May climatological average of 21°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles confirm consensus on limited warm-up. Scenarios challenging this include abrupt wind lightening or unexpected cloud dissipation boosting peaks to 20-22°C; hourly observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport will provide real-time resolution data through evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
23°C or below 97.4%
24°C 2.5%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$13,978 Vol.
$13,978 Vol.
23°C or below
97%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 97.4%
24°C 2.5%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$13,978 Vol.
$13,978 Vol.
23°C or below
97%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts from the National Meteorological Center projecting a daytime peak of 18-19°C under persistent southeast winds at Beaufort force 3-4 (7-10 m/s). Cool maritime air advection from the adjacent Yellow Sea suppresses daytime heating despite ample solar insolation and clear skies, with morning lows near 15°C well below the mid-May climatological average of 21°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles confirm consensus on limited warm-up. Scenarios challenging this include abrupt wind lightening or unexpected cloud dissipation boosting peaks to 20-22°C; hourly observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport will provide real-time resolution data through evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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