Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have stalled over Iran's insistence on retaining its right to uranium enrichment, with Washington demanding a long-term moratorium or outright end to the program in exchange for sanctions relief. Recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva collapsed without agreement after Tehran rejected a 20-year suspension and countered with shorter timelines of five years or less, while continuing to hold hundreds of kilograms of near-weapons-grade material. Iranian officials have signaled they are reviewing proposals but have not committed to any deal by late June, amid threats to resume higher-level enrichment if military pressure resumes. These entrenched positions on enrichment limits and verification have produced the current trader consensus that an accord halting the activity by the June 30 deadline remains unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'Iran accepte-t-il de mettre fin à l'enrichissement de l'uranium d'ici le 30 juin ?
L'Iran accepte-t-il de mettre fin à l'enrichissement de l'uranium d'ici le 30 juin ?
Oui
$1,383,209 Vol.
$1,383,209 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$1,383,209 Vol.
$1,383,209 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have stalled over Iran's insistence on retaining its right to uranium enrichment, with Washington demanding a long-term moratorium or outright end to the program in exchange for sanctions relief. Recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva collapsed without agreement after Tehran rejected a 20-year suspension and countered with shorter timelines of five years or less, while continuing to hold hundreds of kilograms of near-weapons-grade material. Iranian officials have signaled they are reviewing proposals but have not committed to any deal by late June, amid threats to resume higher-level enrichment if military pressure resumes. These entrenched positions on enrichment limits and verification have produced the current trader consensus that an accord halting the activity by the June 30 deadline remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,383,209Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have stalled over Iran's insistence on retaining its right to uranium enrichment, with Washington demanding a long-term moratorium or outright end to the program in exchange for sanctions relief. Recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva collapsed without agreement after Tehran rejected a 20-year suspension and countered with shorter timelines of five years or less, while continuing to hold hundreds of kilograms of near-weapons-grade material. Iranian officials have signaled they are reviewing proposals but have not committed to any deal by late June, amid threats to resume higher-level enrichment if military pressure resumes. These entrenched positions on enrichment limits and verification have produced the current trader consensus that an accord halting the activity by the June 30 deadline remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,383,209Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have stalled over Iran's insistence on retaining its right to uranium enrichment, with Washington demanding a long-term moratorium or outright end to the program in exchange for sanctions relief. Recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva collapsed without agreement after Tehran rejected a 20-year suspension and countered with shorter timelines of five years or less, while continuing to hold hundreds of kilograms of near-weapons-grade material. Iranian officials have signaled they are reviewing proposals but have not committed to any deal by late June, amid threats to resume higher-level enrichment if military pressure resumes. These entrenched positions on enrichment limits and verification have produced the current trader consensus that an accord halting the activity by the June 30 deadline remains unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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