Claire Valdez holds a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, with traders assigning her roughly 78% implied probability. Recent fundraising disclosures show Valdez outpacing Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by a roughly 2-to-1 margin in the latest reporting period, bolstered by the influential endorsement of Mayor Mamdani. A June 3 debate among Valdez, Reynoso, and Queens Councilwoman Julie Won highlighted contrasts in progressive priorities and labor support, while early voting has now begun. These developments have shifted market sentiment away from the tighter polling margins seen earlier in the cycle, leaving Reynoso and other entrants with limited remaining paths to the nomination.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourClaire Valdez 78%
Antonio Reynoso 16%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$141,280 Vol.
$141,280 Vol.
Claire Valdez
78%
Antonio Reynoso
16%
Julie Won
1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Claire Valdez 78%
Antonio Reynoso 16%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$141,280 Vol.
$141,280 Vol.
Claire Valdez
78%
Antonio Reynoso
16%
Julie Won
1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez holds a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, with traders assigning her roughly 78% implied probability. Recent fundraising disclosures show Valdez outpacing Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by a roughly 2-to-1 margin in the latest reporting period, bolstered by the influential endorsement of Mayor Mamdani. A June 3 debate among Valdez, Reynoso, and Queens Councilwoman Julie Won highlighted contrasts in progressive priorities and labor support, while early voting has now begun. These developments have shifted market sentiment away from the tighter polling margins seen earlier in the cycle, leaving Reynoso and other entrants with limited remaining paths to the nomination.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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