Google's Gemini models anchor the 86% market-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30. The lab's Gemini 3.7 Flash High currently sits at #2 overall with strong math-category gains, trailing only Anthropic while ahead of Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI entries. Recent Gemini updates improved math, instruction-following, and multi-turn scores, and a leaked internal Deep Think Mathematica build signals specialized reasoning capacity still in testing. With resolution imminent, traders view limited time for rivals to close the gap through new releases. OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra math breakthroughs and Chinese labs' iterative updates create the main residual uncertainty, yet current leaderboard positioning and release momentum favor Google holding the slot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGoogle 86%
OpenAI 8.2%
Anthropic 5.6%
Meta 2.3%
$61,074 Vol.
$61,074 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
86%
OpenAI
8%
Anthropic
6%
Meta
2%
Moonshot
2%
Z.ai
1%
Alibaba
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 86%
OpenAI 8.2%
Anthropic 5.6%
Meta 2.3%
$61,074 Vol.
$61,074 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
$20,386 Vol.
86%
OpenAI
$6,978 Vol.
8%
Anthropic
$7,789 Vol.
6%
Meta
$1,620 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$1,803 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$1,741 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$5,827 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,317 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$1,368 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,472 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,689 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,262 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,292 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$951 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$566 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models anchor the 86% market-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30. The lab's Gemini 3.7 Flash High currently sits at #2 overall with strong math-category gains, trailing only Anthropic while ahead of Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI entries. Recent Gemini updates improved math, instruction-following, and multi-turn scores, and a leaked internal Deep Think Mathematica build signals specialized reasoning capacity still in testing. With resolution imminent, traders view limited time for rivals to close the gap through new releases. OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra math breakthroughs and Chinese labs' iterative updates create the main residual uncertainty, yet current leaderboard positioning and release momentum favor Google holding the slot.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$61,074Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models anchor the 86% market-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30. The lab's Gemini 3.7 Flash High currently sits at #2 overall with strong math-category gains, trailing only Anthropic while ahead of Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI entries. Recent Gemini updates improved math, instruction-following, and multi-turn scores, and a leaked internal Deep Think Mathematica build signals specialized reasoning capacity still in testing. With resolution imminent, traders view limited time for rivals to close the gap through new releases. OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra math breakthroughs and Chinese labs' iterative updates create the main residual uncertainty, yet current leaderboard positioning and release momentum favor Google holding the slot.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$61,074Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini models anchor the 86% market-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30. The lab's Gemini 3.7 Flash High currently sits at #2 overall with strong math-category gains, trailing only Anthropic while ahead of Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI entries. Recent Gemini updates improved math, instruction-following, and multi-turn scores, and a leaked internal Deep Think Mathematica build signals specialized reasoning capacity still in testing. With resolution imminent, traders view limited time for rivals to close the gap through new releases. OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra math breakthroughs and Chinese labs' iterative updates create the main residual uncertainty, yet current leaderboard positioning and release momentum favor Google holding the slot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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