The fragmented probabilities around 50% for Other and numerous contenders reflect intense competition among AI labs for third place in text-based math arenas by late September 2026, with no single leader emerging. Z.ai holds a modest edge at 44% implied odds due to recent model releases demonstrating strong benchmark gains in quantitative reasoning, while Alibaba and Google trail at 17% and 15% respectively on the strength of established large language model scaling and enterprise math tooling. Traders are weighing factors such as verified capability demonstrations, competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, and potential surprises from labs like DeepSeek or Moonshot in the remaining weeks, underscoring how quickly new training techniques or fine-tuning can shift rankings in this fast-moving field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourZ.ai 44.1%
Alibaba 18%
Google 14%
Meta 5.6%
$65,163 Vol.
$65,163 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
Z.ai
44%
Alibaba
18%
14%
Meta
6%
OpenAI
4%
Moonshot
3%
SpaceXAI
2%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Z.ai 44.1%
Alibaba 18%
Google 14%
Meta 5.6%
$65,163 Vol.
$65,163 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
Z.ai
$7,233 Vol.
44%
Alibaba
$14,076 Vol.
18%
$7,582 Vol.
14%
Meta
$1,947 Vol.
6%
OpenAI
$9,925 Vol.
4%
Moonshot
$2,787 Vol.
3%
SpaceXAI
$1,992 Vol.
2%
Xiaomi
$1,784 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,535 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$2,639 Vol.
1%
Anthropic
$2,670 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$2,632 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,553 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,586 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,535 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$743 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$756 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$575 Vol.
<1%
Bytedance
$916 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$698 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The fragmented probabilities around 50% for Other and numerous contenders reflect intense competition among AI labs for third place in text-based math arenas by late September 2026, with no single leader emerging. Z.ai holds a modest edge at 44% implied odds due to recent model releases demonstrating strong benchmark gains in quantitative reasoning, while Alibaba and Google trail at 17% and 15% respectively on the strength of established large language model scaling and enterprise math tooling. Traders are weighing factors such as verified capability demonstrations, competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, and potential surprises from labs like DeepSeek or Moonshot in the remaining weeks, underscoring how quickly new training techniques or fine-tuning can shift rankings in this fast-moving field.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$65,163Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The fragmented probabilities around 50% for Other and numerous contenders reflect intense competition among AI labs for third place in text-based math arenas by late September 2026, with no single leader emerging. Z.ai holds a modest edge at 44% implied odds due to recent model releases demonstrating strong benchmark gains in quantitative reasoning, while Alibaba and Google trail at 17% and 15% respectively on the strength of established large language model scaling and enterprise math tooling. Traders are weighing factors such as verified capability demonstrations, competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, and potential surprises from labs like DeepSeek or Moonshot in the remaining weeks, underscoring how quickly new training techniques or fine-tuning can shift rankings in this fast-moving field.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$65,163Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented probabilities around 50% for Other and numerous contenders reflect intense competition among AI labs for third place in text-based math arenas by late September 2026, with no single leader emerging. Z.ai holds a modest edge at 44% implied odds due to recent model releases demonstrating strong benchmark gains in quantitative reasoning, while Alibaba and Google trail at 17% and 15% respectively on the strength of established large language model scaling and enterprise math tooling. Traders are weighing factors such as verified capability demonstrations, competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, and potential surprises from labs like DeepSeek or Moonshot in the remaining weeks, underscoring how quickly new training techniques or fine-tuning can shift rankings in this fast-moving field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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