Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 57°F or below in Seattle on May 15 (95.6% implied probability), anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies, south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph, and a 40% chance of rain. This cool outlook stems from persistent onshore flow ushering moist marine air, suppressing temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of 63-65°F amid lingering low-level clouds and instability. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on limited daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing or a wind shift reducing cloud cover, potentially nudging highs into the upper 50s, with NWS updates expected overnight as new observations refine guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on May 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 15?
57°F or below 97.0%
58-59°F 2.3%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
BARU
$19,563 Vol.
BARU
$19,563 Vol.
May 15, 2026
57°F or below
97%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
57°F or below 97.0%
58-59°F 2.3%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
BARU
$19,563 Vol.
BARU
$19,563 Vol.
May 15, 2026
57°F or below
$2,403 Vol.
97%
58-59°F
$3,495 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$2,688 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,432 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,782 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,633 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,358 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,109 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,499 Vol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$891 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 57°F or below in Seattle on May 15 (95.6% implied probability), anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies, south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph, and a 40% chance of rain. This cool outlook stems from persistent onshore flow ushering moist marine air, suppressing temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of 63-65°F amid lingering low-level clouds and instability. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on limited daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing or a wind shift reducing cloud cover, potentially nudging highs into the upper 50s, with NWS updates expected overnight as new observations refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$19,563Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 57°F or below in Seattle on May 15 (95.6% implied probability), anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies, south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph, and a 40% chance of rain. This cool outlook stems from persistent onshore flow ushering moist marine air, suppressing temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of 63-65°F amid lingering low-level clouds and instability. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on limited daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing or a wind shift reducing cloud cover, potentially nudging highs into the upper 50s, with NWS updates expected overnight as new observations refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,563Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 57°F or below in Seattle on May 15 (95.6% implied probability), anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 56°F under mostly cloudy skies, south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph, and a 40% chance of rain. This cool outlook stems from persistent onshore flow ushering moist marine air, suppressing temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of 63-65°F amid lingering low-level clouds and instability. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on limited daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing or a wind shift reducing cloud cover, potentially nudging highs into the upper 50s, with NWS updates expected overnight as new observations refine guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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