Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge across the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C-or-higher outcome at 62% implied probability for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to drive rapid surface warming, pushing temperatures well above the city’s May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 have shifted quickly to this warming pattern, reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 64%
34°C 30%
33°C 1.1%
29°C <1%
BARU
$23,378 Vol.
BARU
$23,378 Vol.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
30%
35°C or higher
64%
35°C or higher 64%
34°C 30%
33°C 1.1%
29°C <1%
BARU
$23,378 Vol.
BARU
$23,378 Vol.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$7,140 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,573 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,529 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,426 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,626 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$997 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,843 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,710 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,734 Vol.
30%
35°C or higher
$2,867 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge across the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C-or-higher outcome at 62% implied probability for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to drive rapid surface warming, pushing temperatures well above the city’s May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 have shifted quickly to this warming pattern, reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$23,378Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge across the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C-or-higher outcome at 62% implied probability for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to drive rapid surface warming, pushing temperatures well above the city’s May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 have shifted quickly to this warming pattern, reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$23,378Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge across the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C-or-higher outcome at 62% implied probability for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to drive rapid surface warming, pushing temperatures well above the city’s May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 have shifted quickly to this warming pattern, reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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