Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
12°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$29,660 Vol.
$29,660 Vol.
May 14, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$29,660 Vol.
$29,660 Vol.
May 14, 2026
11°C or below
$12,191 Vol.
No
12°C
$3,672 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$1,812 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,810 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,198 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,156 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,908 Vol.
No
18°C
$805 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,011 Vol.
No
20°C
$735 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$360 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$29,660Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,660Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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