Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched pre-event SMN forecasts of mild autumn conditions under partly cloudy skies and a cool air mass from the south, which capped daytime heating below the seasonal average high of around 18°C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limited solar insolation, preventing any surge toward 16°C or higher. While final data validation is routine, a realistic challenge would require evidence of sensor malfunction or overlooked peak readings during quality control review, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 13?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$61,365 Vol.
$61,365 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$61,365 Vol.
$61,365 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched pre-event SMN forecasts of mild autumn conditions under partly cloudy skies and a cool air mass from the south, which capped daytime heating below the seasonal average high of around 18°C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limited solar insolation, preventing any surge toward 16°C or higher. While final data validation is routine, a realistic challenge would require evidence of sensor malfunction or overlooked peak readings during quality control review, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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