Recent observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daytime maximum of 18°C in Buenos Aires on May 15, aligning with the market’s near-certain consensus. A post-frontal air mass brought cooler southerly winds and partly cloudy skies that limited solar heating, keeping temperatures at or below the city’s May climatological average of 18–19°C. Global forecast ensembles from the GFS and ECMWF had consistently projected a narrow 17–19°C range, with official station data from Aeroparque and Ezeiza validating the exact peak. Urban heat-island influences introduced only marginal uncertainty, well within standard measurement tolerances. Only an improbable post-analysis revision beyond normal error margins could alter the recorded maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 15?
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$47,564 Vol.
$47,564 Vol.
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$47,564 Vol.
$47,564 Vol.
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daytime maximum of 18°C in Buenos Aires on May 15, aligning with the market’s near-certain consensus. A post-frontal air mass brought cooler southerly winds and partly cloudy skies that limited solar heating, keeping temperatures at or below the city’s May climatological average of 18–19°C. Global forecast ensembles from the GFS and ECMWF had consistently projected a narrow 17–19°C range, with official station data from Aeroparque and Ezeiza validating the exact peak. Urban heat-island influences introduced only marginal uncertainty, well within standard measurement tolerances. Only an improbable post-analysis revision beyond normal error margins could alter the recorded maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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