Following a disruptive cold front with heavy rain and gale-force winds through May 11-13 that suppressed temperatures, South African Weather Service (SAWS) and other forecasts indicate clearing skies and a rebound for Cape Town on May 14, with daytime highs clustering around 18-20°C under a high-pressure ridge. SAWS-linked outlooks project a maximum near 19°C with sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 19°C (39.5%), 20°C (34.5%), and 18°C (30.0%), reflecting model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS where minor differences in afternoon cloud breaks, southerly sea breezes, and insolation timing create the tight uncertainty. May climatological averages hover at 19°C, but lingering post-frontal cooling versus solar warming differentiates outcomes; airport observations will resolve by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
19°C 46%
18°C 35%
20°C 16%
17°C 5%
$12,911 Vol.
$12,911 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
30%
19°C
46%
20°C
16%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 46%
18°C 35%
20°C 16%
17°C 5%
$12,911 Vol.
$12,911 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
30%
19°C
46%
20°C
16%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following a disruptive cold front with heavy rain and gale-force winds through May 11-13 that suppressed temperatures, South African Weather Service (SAWS) and other forecasts indicate clearing skies and a rebound for Cape Town on May 14, with daytime highs clustering around 18-20°C under a high-pressure ridge. SAWS-linked outlooks project a maximum near 19°C with sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 19°C (39.5%), 20°C (34.5%), and 18°C (30.0%), reflecting model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS where minor differences in afternoon cloud breaks, southerly sea breezes, and insolation timing create the tight uncertainty. May climatological averages hover at 19°C, but lingering post-frontal cooling versus solar warming differentiates outcomes; airport observations will resolve by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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