The tight spread between 21°C (41%) and 22°C (40%) in the Helsinki market stems from model consensus placing the August 5 maximum near the long-term average high of 21–22°C, with uncertainty hinging on boundary-layer heating and Baltic Sea advection. Forecasters monitor whether a weak ridge promotes clearer skies and modest insolation or whether increased cloud cover and northerly flow cap temperatures at 20°C. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any diurnal peak, while historical analogs show similar late-summer setups rarely exceed 23°C without strong southerly flow. New model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Helsinki il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Helsinki il 5 agosto?
21°C 41%
22°C 40%
20°C 12%
23°C 6%
NUOVO
$12,845 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,845 Vol.
5 ago 2026
17°C o meno
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
12%
21°C
41%
22°C
40%
23°C
6%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o superiore
<1%
21°C 41%
22°C 40%
20°C 12%
23°C 6%
NUOVO
$12,845 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,845 Vol.
5 ago 2026
17°C o meno
$888 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$929 Vol.
1%
20°C
$661 Vol.
12%
21°C
$2,195 Vol.
41%
22°C
$2,912 Vol.
40%
23°C
$2,242 Vol.
6%
24°C
$462 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$432 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$790 Vol.
<1%
27°C o superiore
$889 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight spread between 21°C (41%) and 22°C (40%) in the Helsinki market stems from model consensus placing the August 5 maximum near the long-term average high of 21–22°C, with uncertainty hinging on boundary-layer heating and Baltic Sea advection. Forecasters monitor whether a weak ridge promotes clearer skies and modest insolation or whether increased cloud cover and northerly flow cap temperatures at 20°C. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any diurnal peak, while historical analogs show similar late-summer setups rarely exceed 23°C without strong southerly flow. New model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$12,845Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight spread between 21°C (41%) and 22°C (40%) in the Helsinki market stems from model consensus placing the August 5 maximum near the long-term average high of 21–22°C, with uncertainty hinging on boundary-layer heating and Baltic Sea advection. Forecasters monitor whether a weak ridge promotes clearer skies and modest insolation or whether increased cloud cover and northerly flow cap temperatures at 20°C. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any diurnal peak, while historical analogs show similar late-summer setups rarely exceed 23°C without strong southerly flow. New model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,845Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight spread between 21°C (41%) and 22°C (40%) in the Helsinki market stems from model consensus placing the August 5 maximum near the long-term average high of 21–22°C, with uncertainty hinging on boundary-layer heating and Baltic Sea advection. Forecasters monitor whether a weak ridge promotes clearer skies and modest insolation or whether increased cloud cover and northerly flow cap temperatures at 20°C. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any diurnal peak, while historical analogs show similar late-summer setups rarely exceed 23°C without strong southerly flow. New model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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