Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models show a stable high-pressure ridge over the North Sea positioning Amsterdam for a daytime maximum near 25°C today, aligning with the market's leading 58% implied probability. Warm advection from the south combined with limited cloud cover and light winds supports this range, while slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing create the secondary probabilities for 24°C or 26°C. Historical August climatology for the city places average highs around 22–24°C, making today’s projected anomaly notable yet within model spread. Updated guidance later today from national weather services will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 5 agosto?
25°C 59%
26°C 23%
24°C 20%
23°C <1%
NUOVO
$33,187 Vol.
NUOVO
$33,187 Vol.
5 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
20%
25°C
59%
26°C
23%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 59%
26°C 23%
24°C 20%
23°C <1%
NUOVO
$33,187 Vol.
NUOVO
$33,187 Vol.
5 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$2,749 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,639 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,904 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,820 Vol.
1%
24°C
$4,637 Vol.
20%
25°C
$4,832 Vol.
59%
26°C
$4,539 Vol.
23%
27°C
$1,782 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$964 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$566 Vol.
<1%
30°C o superiore
$2,756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models show a stable high-pressure ridge over the North Sea positioning Amsterdam for a daytime maximum near 25°C today, aligning with the market's leading 58% implied probability. Warm advection from the south combined with limited cloud cover and light winds supports this range, while slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing create the secondary probabilities for 24°C or 26°C. Historical August climatology for the city places average highs around 22–24°C, making today’s projected anomaly notable yet within model spread. Updated guidance later today from national weather services will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$33,187Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models show a stable high-pressure ridge over the North Sea positioning Amsterdam for a daytime maximum near 25°C today, aligning with the market's leading 58% implied probability. Warm advection from the south combined with limited cloud cover and light winds supports this range, while slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing create the secondary probabilities for 24°C or 26°C. Historical August climatology for the city places average highs around 22–24°C, making today’s projected anomaly notable yet within model spread. Updated guidance later today from national weather services will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,187Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models show a stable high-pressure ridge over the North Sea positioning Amsterdam for a daytime maximum near 25°C today, aligning with the market's leading 58% implied probability. Warm advection from the south combined with limited cloud cover and light winds supports this range, while slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing create the secondary probabilities for 24°C or 26°C. Historical August climatology for the city places average highs around 22–24°C, making today’s projected anomaly notable yet within model spread. Updated guidance later today from national weather services will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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