Traders have converged on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 12, reflecting the latest consensus from regional forecast models and observational data indicating stable conditions under a high-pressure system with minimal diurnal variation. Official meteorological guidance shows daytime maxima holding near this level due to moderate northerly flow and limited moisture, aligning with climatological norms for mid-June in the region where daily highs typically range 22–26°C. This near-certain market positioning rests on verified model runs and surface observations rather than projections. Only an unexpected shift in local wind patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 12?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$33,174 Vol.
$33,174 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$33,174 Vol.
$33,174 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders have converged on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 12, reflecting the latest consensus from regional forecast models and observational data indicating stable conditions under a high-pressure system with minimal diurnal variation. Official meteorological guidance shows daytime maxima holding near this level due to moderate northerly flow and limited moisture, aligning with climatological norms for mid-June in the region where daily highs typically range 22–26°C. This near-certain market positioning rests on verified model runs and surface observations rather than projections. Only an unexpected shift in local wind patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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