Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lagos on May 13?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 13?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,908 Vol.
$40,908 Vol.
13 mag 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,908 Vol.
$40,908 Vol.
13 mag 2026
26°C or below
$2,216 Vol.
No
27°C
$550 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,673 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,066 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,792 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,640 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,040 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,764 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$4,280 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,845 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$9,043 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$40,908Data di fine
13 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,908Data di fine
13 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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