The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
39°C or below 92%
40°C 4.8%
41°C 1.3%
42°C <1%
NUOVO
$18,010 Vol.
NUOVO
$18,010 Vol.
14 mag 2026
39°C or below
92%
40°C
5%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
39°C or below 92%
40°C 4.8%
41°C 1.3%
42°C <1%
NUOVO
$18,010 Vol.
NUOVO
$18,010 Vol.
14 mag 2026
39°C or below
$3,009 Vol.
92%
40°C
$1,886 Vol.
5%
41°C
$2,128 Vol.
1%
42°C
$1,273 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$2,123 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$1,546 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$669 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$827 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$1,006 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$2,512 Vol.
<1%
49°C or higher
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$18,010Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,010Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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