India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts place Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 15 at 40°C under clear skies with no warnings, driving the market's 95% implied probability for 41°C or below based on high-confidence numerical weather prediction models and recent observations. On May 13, the observed high was 38.1°C—1.7°C below normal—reflecting stable pre-monsoon conditions amid light winds and minimal cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh, where state highs reached 43.6°C elsewhere but not in Lucknow. This aligns with May climatology averaging 39–42°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar heating from subsidence aloft or absent afternoon cumulus clouds, potentially adding 1–2°C, though model consensus shows low variance. Watch IMD's May 14 evening update for refinements ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
41°C or below 97.5%
42°C 1.9%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
NUOVO
$14,234 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,234 Vol.
15 mag 2026
41°C or below
98%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 97.5%
42°C 1.9%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
NUOVO
$14,234 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,234 Vol.
15 mag 2026
41°C or below
$1,340 Vol.
98%
42°C
$1,096 Vol.
2%
43°C
$1,505 Vol.
1%
44°C
$1,155 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$1,872 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$1,537 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$1,743 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$2,041 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$570 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$695 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$797 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts place Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 15 at 40°C under clear skies with no warnings, driving the market's 95% implied probability for 41°C or below based on high-confidence numerical weather prediction models and recent observations. On May 13, the observed high was 38.1°C—1.7°C below normal—reflecting stable pre-monsoon conditions amid light winds and minimal cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh, where state highs reached 43.6°C elsewhere but not in Lucknow. This aligns with May climatology averaging 39–42°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar heating from subsidence aloft or absent afternoon cumulus clouds, potentially adding 1–2°C, though model consensus shows low variance. Watch IMD's May 14 evening update for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$14,234Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts place Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 15 at 40°C under clear skies with no warnings, driving the market's 95% implied probability for 41°C or below based on high-confidence numerical weather prediction models and recent observations. On May 13, the observed high was 38.1°C—1.7°C below normal—reflecting stable pre-monsoon conditions amid light winds and minimal cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh, where state highs reached 43.6°C elsewhere but not in Lucknow. This aligns with May climatology averaging 39–42°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar heating from subsidence aloft or absent afternoon cumulus clouds, potentially adding 1–2°C, though model consensus shows low variance. Watch IMD's May 14 evening update for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,234Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts place Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 15 at 40°C under clear skies with no warnings, driving the market's 95% implied probability for 41°C or below based on high-confidence numerical weather prediction models and recent observations. On May 13, the observed high was 38.1°C—1.7°C below normal—reflecting stable pre-monsoon conditions amid light winds and minimal cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh, where state highs reached 43.6°C elsewhere but not in Lucknow. This aligns with May climatology averaging 39–42°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar heating from subsidence aloft or absent afternoon cumulus clouds, potentially adding 1–2°C, though model consensus shows low variance. Watch IMD's May 14 evening update for refinements ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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