India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position the highest temperature in Lucknow at around 39°C today under mainly clear skies, driving trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability for 39°C or below, with yesterday's observed maximum of 38.1°C (1.7°C below normal) reinforcing this outlook amid subdued pre-monsoon heating. Recent cooling follows earlier May heatwaves that peaked above 42°C but eased with passing weather systems, aligning current conditions with seasonal norms where May averages hover near 40°C yet show variability from light winds and soil moisture retention. Forecast models indicate low intensification risk, though real-time observations could shift odds before evening resolution; monitor IMD updates for intraday adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
39°C or below 89%
40°C 10.0%
41°C 1.9%
42°C <1%
$19,787 Vol.
$19,787 Vol.
39°C or below
89%
40°C
10%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
39°C or below 89%
40°C 10.0%
41°C 1.9%
42°C <1%
$19,787 Vol.
$19,787 Vol.
39°C or below
89%
40°C
10%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position the highest temperature in Lucknow at around 39°C today under mainly clear skies, driving trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability for 39°C or below, with yesterday's observed maximum of 38.1°C (1.7°C below normal) reinforcing this outlook amid subdued pre-monsoon heating. Recent cooling follows earlier May heatwaves that peaked above 42°C but eased with passing weather systems, aligning current conditions with seasonal norms where May averages hover near 40°C yet show variability from light winds and soil moisture retention. Forecast models indicate low intensification risk, though real-time observations could shift odds before evening resolution; monitor IMD updates for intraday adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti