Recent forecasts from major models including the ECMWF and UK Met Office indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 16 around 34–36°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence warming, abundant sunshine, and light southeasterly flow. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C (83% combined implied probability) because urban heat-island effects at official stations, boundary-layer mixing variations, and minor model spread can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Possible late-day convective showers noted in some guidance could modestly cap readings, while stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the range. Historical August maxima near 30–31°C provide context for the elevated anomaly, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour model updates and verified station data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 16 agosto?
34°C 50%
35°C 34%
33°C 10%
36°C 6%
NUOVO
$11,791 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,791 Vol.
16 ago 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
10%
34°C
50%
35°C
34%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 50%
35°C 34%
33°C 10%
36°C 6%
NUOVO
$11,791 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,791 Vol.
16 ago 2026
31°C or below
$766 Vol.
1%
32°C
$546 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,359 Vol.
10%
34°C
$3,485 Vol.
50%
35°C
$2,711 Vol.
34%
36°C
$1,182 Vol.
6%
37°C
$471 Vol.
1%
38°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$464 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models including the ECMWF and UK Met Office indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 16 around 34–36°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence warming, abundant sunshine, and light southeasterly flow. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C (83% combined implied probability) because urban heat-island effects at official stations, boundary-layer mixing variations, and minor model spread can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Possible late-day convective showers noted in some guidance could modestly cap readings, while stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the range. Historical August maxima near 30–31°C provide context for the elevated anomaly, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour model updates and verified station data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,791Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models including the ECMWF and UK Met Office indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 16 around 34–36°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence warming, abundant sunshine, and light southeasterly flow. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C (83% combined implied probability) because urban heat-island effects at official stations, boundary-layer mixing variations, and minor model spread can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Possible late-day convective showers noted in some guidance could modestly cap readings, while stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the range. Historical August maxima near 30–31°C provide context for the elevated anomaly, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour model updates and verified station data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,791Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models including the ECMWF and UK Met Office indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 16 around 34–36°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence warming, abundant sunshine, and light southeasterly flow. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C (83% combined implied probability) because urban heat-island effects at official stations, boundary-layer mixing variations, and minor model spread can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Possible late-day convective showers noted in some guidance could modestly cap readings, while stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the range. Historical August maxima near 30–31°C provide context for the elevated anomaly, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour model updates and verified station data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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