Trader consensus has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature in Milan on May 16, reflecting the latest consensus model outputs and real-time observations from the Italian Meteorological Service under stable anticyclonic conditions that limit diurnal warming across the Po Valley. Current surface analyses show morning temperatures near 10°C with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with climatological averages for mid-May and keeping the projected peak firmly at this level through the resolution window. Model agreement remains high with little spread in ensemble runs, though minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or a late forecast adjustment. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings at Milan Linate Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on May 16?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$54,132 Vol.
$54,132 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$54,132 Vol.
$54,132 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature in Milan on May 16, reflecting the latest consensus model outputs and real-time observations from the Italian Meteorological Service under stable anticyclonic conditions that limit diurnal warming across the Po Valley. Current surface analyses show morning temperatures near 10°C with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with climatological averages for mid-May and keeping the projected peak firmly at this level through the resolution window. Model agreement remains high with little spread in ensemble runs, though minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or a late forecast adjustment. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings at Milan Linate Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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