Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher at Panama City's Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport on May 14, reflecting the latest forecast models projecting peak temperatures of 31–33°C amid typical May tropical conditions. High solar insolation near the equator, combined with light winds and limited morning cloud cover in recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF ensembles), supports sustained daytime heating, while high humidity around 70–80% enhances heat index values. Over the past week, observed highs have hovered at 30–32°C with scattered thunderstorms failing to significantly cap peaks, aligning with climatological averages of 31°C for May. Uncertainty persists from potential afternoon convective activity, with official observations resolving the market later today.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
32°C or higher 80%
31°C 14%
30°C 2.1%
27°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 mag 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
80%
32°C or higher 80%
31°C 14%
30°C 2.1%
27°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 mag 2026
22°C or below
$702 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$613 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$618 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$876 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$579 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$408 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$603 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,018 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,115 Vol.
14%
32°C or higher
$1,275 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher at Panama City's Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport on May 14, reflecting the latest forecast models projecting peak temperatures of 31–33°C amid typical May tropical conditions. High solar insolation near the equator, combined with light winds and limited morning cloud cover in recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF ensembles), supports sustained daytime heating, while high humidity around 70–80% enhances heat index values. Over the past week, observed highs have hovered at 30–32°C with scattered thunderstorms failing to significantly cap peaks, aligning with climatological averages of 31°C for May. Uncertainty persists from potential afternoon convective activity, with official observations resolving the market later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volume
$8,428Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher at Panama City's Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport on May 14, reflecting the latest forecast models projecting peak temperatures of 31–33°C amid typical May tropical conditions. High solar insolation near the equator, combined with light winds and limited morning cloud cover in recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF ensembles), supports sustained daytime heating, while high humidity around 70–80% enhances heat index values. Over the past week, observed highs have hovered at 30–32°C with scattered thunderstorms failing to significantly cap peaks, aligning with climatological averages of 31°C for May. Uncertainty persists from potential afternoon convective activity, with official observations resolving the market later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,428Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher at Panama City's Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport on May 14, reflecting the latest forecast models projecting peak temperatures of 31–33°C amid typical May tropical conditions. High solar insolation near the equator, combined with light winds and limited morning cloud cover in recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF ensembles), supports sustained daytime heating, while high humidity around 70–80% enhances heat index values. Over the past week, observed highs have hovered at 30–32°C with scattered thunderstorms failing to significantly cap peaks, aligning with climatological averages of 31°C for May. Uncertainty persists from potential afternoon convective activity, with official observations resolving the market later today.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti