The market-implied odds reflect confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Shanghai on June 12, 2026, amid typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Recent model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration aligned closely with this outcome, supported by overcast skies and light winds that prevented significant afternoon warming beyond historical June baselines around 27–30°C. Trader consensus at near-certainty captures this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary sources or discrepancies in station measurements exceeding standard uncertainty ranges, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 12 giugno?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 12 giugno?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$148,362 Vol.
$148,362 Vol.
12 giu 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$148,362 Vol.
$148,362 Vol.
12 giu 2026
25°C or below
$1,454 Vol.
No
26°C
$549 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,167 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,622 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,478 Vol.
No
30°C
$30,481 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$27,332 Vol.
No
32°C
$20,605 Vol.
No
33°C
$20,513 Vol.
No
34°C
$20,185 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$7,975 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Shanghai on June 12, 2026, amid typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Recent model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration aligned closely with this outcome, supported by overcast skies and light winds that prevented significant afternoon warming beyond historical June baselines around 27–30°C. Trader consensus at near-certainty captures this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary sources or discrepancies in station measurements exceeding standard uncertainty ranges, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$148,362Data di fine
12 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Shanghai on June 12, 2026, amid typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Recent model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration aligned closely with this outcome, supported by overcast skies and light winds that prevented significant afternoon warming beyond historical June baselines around 27–30°C. Trader consensus at near-certainty captures this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary sources or discrepancies in station measurements exceeding standard uncertainty ranges, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$148,362Data di fine
12 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The market-implied odds reflect confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Shanghai on June 12, 2026, amid typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Recent model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration aligned closely with this outcome, supported by overcast skies and light winds that prevented significant afternoon warming beyond historical June baselines around 27–30°C. Trader consensus at near-certainty captures this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified readings rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary sources or discrepancies in station measurements exceeding standard uncertainty ranges, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti