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icon for Quanti seggi vincerà il Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?
Politica·Russia

Quanti seggi vincerà il Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?

icon for Quanti seggi vincerà il Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?
Politica·Russia

Quanti seggi vincerà il Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?

<45 99.6%

45–54 <1%

75–84 <1%

85–94 <1%

Polymarket

$28,063 Vol.

<45 99.6%

45–54 <1%

75–84 <1%

85–94 <1%

Polymarket

$28,063 Vol.

<45

$5,029 Vol.

100%

45–54

$637 Vol.

<1%

55–64

$328 Vol.

<1%

65–74

$345 Vol.

<1%

75–84

$320 Vol.

<1%

85–94

$853 Vol.

<1%

95+

$20,551 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The overwhelming trader consensus on fewer than 45 seats for the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia reflects its single-digit national vote share in pre-election surveys from FOM and WCIOM, early Central Election Commission tallies around 8.8 percent after the September 18–20 vote, and the party’s historical single-member district performance under the mixed electoral system. Leonid Slutsky’s leadership and the party’s “100 Days of Transformation” platform have sustained its ultranationalist positioning but produced only modest projected gains from the 22 seats won in 2021. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include final single-member district results materially exceeding proportional expectations or substantial revisions in official seat allocation once all protocols are processed.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$28,063
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:53 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The overwhelming trader consensus on fewer than 45 seats for the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia reflects its single-digit national vote share in pre-election surveys from FOM and WCIOM, early Central Election Commission tallies around 8.8 percent after the September 18–20 vote, and the party’s historical single-member district performance under the mixed electoral system. Leonid Slutsky’s leadership and the party’s “100 Days of Transformation” platform have sustained its ultranationalist positioning but produced only modest projected gains from the 22 seats won in 2021. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include final single-member district results materially exceeding proportional expectations or substantial revisions in official seat allocation once all protocols are processed.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$28,063
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:53 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Quanti seggi vincerà il Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "<45" a 100%, seguito da "45–54" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Quanti seggi vincerà il Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" ha generato $28.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Sep 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Quanti seggi vincerà il Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quanti seggi vincerà il Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" è "<45" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "45–54" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quanti seggi vincerà il Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.