Trader sentiment clusters around 56-57°F (44.5%) and 54-55°F (37.0%) for New York City's Central Park (KNYC) lowest temperature on May 14, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinning the overnight low at around 55°F amid breezy south-southeasterly winds at 10-20 mph and incoming showers after 1 a.m. Ensemble spreads from NOAA models like GFS remain tight in the mid-50s, with subtle differentiation hinging on pre-dawn cloud cover: partial clearing could enable brief radiative cooling to 54°F, while persistent overcast from the slow-moving low-pressure system insulates surface air, favoring 56-57°F. Hourly KNYC observations through early morning will clarify resolution as boundary-layer mixing responds to these factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 14 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 14 maggio?
56-57°F 61%
54-55°F 56%
52-53°F 5%
45°F o inferiore <1%
45°F o inferiore
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
38%
56-57°F
58%
56-57°F 61%
54-55°F 56%
52-53°F 5%
45°F o inferiore <1%
45°F o inferiore
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
38%
56-57°F
58%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 56-57°F (44.5%) and 54-55°F (37.0%) for New York City's Central Park (KNYC) lowest temperature on May 14, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinning the overnight low at around 55°F amid breezy south-southeasterly winds at 10-20 mph and incoming showers after 1 a.m. Ensemble spreads from NOAA models like GFS remain tight in the mid-50s, with subtle differentiation hinging on pre-dawn cloud cover: partial clearing could enable brief radiative cooling to 54°F, while persistent overcast from the slow-moving low-pressure system insulates surface air, favoring 56-57°F. Hourly KNYC observations through early morning will clarify resolution as boundary-layer mixing responds to these factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti