Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 13 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 13 maggio?
19°C 100.0%
14°C o inferiore <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,733 Vol.
$17,733 Vol.
13 mag 2026
14°C o inferiore
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sì
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C o superiore
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C o inferiore <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,733 Vol.
$17,733 Vol.
13 mag 2026
14°C o inferiore
$1,780 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,114 Vol.
No
16°C
$989 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,007 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,583 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,663 Vol.
Sì
20°C
$2,619 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,349 Vol.
No
22°C
$773 Vol.
No
23°C
$521 Vol.
No
24°C o superiore
$334 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$17,733Data di fine
13 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,733Data di fine
13 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti