Supporters of California’s proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion submitted more than 1.5 million signatures in late April 2026, positioning the measure to qualify for the November 3, 2026 ballot following Secretary of State verification by June 25. The initiative, backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, would direct proceeds toward state-funded healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Governor Gavin Newsom has voiced opposition, while competing ballot measures targeting taxes on personal assets have emerged to challenge it. Early polling indicates narrow voter support near 52%, yet substantial opposition spending and historical resistance to wealth-based levies have shaped trader consensus around a 63.5% implied probability that the measure will fail. Verification outcomes and subsequent campaign dynamics remain key variables ahead of the election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$3,285,996 Vol.
$3,285,996 Vol.
2026/11/03
はい
$3,285,996 Vol.
$3,285,996 Vol.
2026/11/03
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Supporters of California’s proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion submitted more than 1.5 million signatures in late April 2026, positioning the measure to qualify for the November 3, 2026 ballot following Secretary of State verification by June 25. The initiative, backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, would direct proceeds toward state-funded healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Governor Gavin Newsom has voiced opposition, while competing ballot measures targeting taxes on personal assets have emerged to challenge it. Early polling indicates narrow voter support near 52%, yet substantial opposition spending and historical resistance to wealth-based levies have shaped trader consensus around a 63.5% implied probability that the measure will fail. Verification outcomes and subsequent campaign dynamics remain key variables ahead of the election.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
音量
$3,285,996終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Supporters of California’s proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion submitted more than 1.5 million signatures in late April 2026, positioning the measure to qualify for the November 3, 2026 ballot following Secretary of State verification by June 25. The initiative, backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, would direct proceeds toward state-funded healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Governor Gavin Newsom has voiced opposition, while competing ballot measures targeting taxes on personal assets have emerged to challenge it. Early polling indicates narrow voter support near 52%, yet substantial opposition spending and historical resistance to wealth-based levies have shaped trader consensus around a 63.5% implied probability that the measure will fail. Verification outcomes and subsequent campaign dynamics remain key variables ahead of the election.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,285,996終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Supporters of California’s proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion submitted more than 1.5 million signatures in late April 2026, positioning the measure to qualify for the November 3, 2026 ballot following Secretary of State verification by June 25. The initiative, backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, would direct proceeds toward state-funded healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Governor Gavin Newsom has voiced opposition, while competing ballot measures targeting taxes on personal assets have emerged to challenge it. Early polling indicates narrow voter support near 52%, yet substantial opposition spending and historical resistance to wealth-based levies have shaped trader consensus around a 63.5% implied probability that the measure will fail. Verification outcomes and subsequent campaign dynamics remain key variables ahead of the election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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