Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's overwhelming fundraising advantage—nearly $5 million cash-on-hand as of late March—and track record of 30-plus-point general election victories in the D+18 leaning CA-19 district anchor trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner. The safely Democratic seat, held by the party since 1977, features a June 2 top-two primary where Panetta faces minimal threats from challenger Sean Dougherty (D) and Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari amid sparse opposition resources. A May 7 candidate forum series highlighted local issues like housing and Iran policy without shifting dynamics or prompting polls. Late-breaking scandal, primary upset sending two non-Democrats to the general, or midterm turnout swings could challenge this, though barriers remain high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,790 Vol.
$26,790 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
5%
$26,790 Vol.
$26,790 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$16,565 Vol.
93%
共和党
$10,226 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's overwhelming fundraising advantage—nearly $5 million cash-on-hand as of late March—and track record of 30-plus-point general election victories in the D+18 leaning CA-19 district anchor trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner. The safely Democratic seat, held by the party since 1977, features a June 2 top-two primary where Panetta faces minimal threats from challenger Sean Dougherty (D) and Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari amid sparse opposition resources. A May 7 candidate forum series highlighted local issues like housing and Iran policy without shifting dynamics or prompting polls. Late-breaking scandal, primary upset sending two non-Democrats to the general, or midterm turnout swings could challenge this, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$26,790終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's overwhelming fundraising advantage—nearly $5 million cash-on-hand as of late March—and track record of 30-plus-point general election victories in the D+18 leaning CA-19 district anchor trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner. The safely Democratic seat, held by the party since 1977, features a June 2 top-two primary where Panetta faces minimal threats from challenger Sean Dougherty (D) and Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari amid sparse opposition resources. A May 7 candidate forum series highlighted local issues like housing and Iran policy without shifting dynamics or prompting polls. Late-breaking scandal, primary upset sending two non-Democrats to the general, or midterm turnout swings could challenge this, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,790終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's overwhelming fundraising advantage—nearly $5 million cash-on-hand as of late March—and track record of 30-plus-point general election victories in the D+18 leaning CA-19 district anchor trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner. The safely Democratic seat, held by the party since 1977, features a June 2 top-two primary where Panetta faces minimal threats from challenger Sean Dougherty (D) and Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari amid sparse opposition resources. A May 7 candidate forum series highlighted local issues like housing and Iran policy without shifting dynamics or prompting polls. Late-breaking scandal, primary upset sending two non-Democrats to the general, or midterm turnout swings could challenge this, though barriers remain high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問