Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas and his formal pre-candidacy launch in mid-May. Recent Genial/Quaest and Datafolha surveys from April and May show Gomes drawing 41-47 percent in first-round scenarios against Freitas at around 32 percent, bolstered by his prior governorship, broad name recognition, and new alliances including support from the PL and potential running mate Roberto Cláudio. Freitas retains backing within the PT base but trails in head-to-head matchups, while Camilo Santana registers lower probabilities as a non-declared contender. The October 4 first-round vote and possible runoff remain key milestones that could shift these dynamics amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 33%
カミロ・サンタナ 5.2%
Eduardo Girão 4.0%
$55,543 Vol.
$55,543 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
68%
Elmano de Freitas
33%
カミロ・サンタナ
5%
Eduardo Girão
4%
Capitão Wagner
2%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 33%
カミロ・サンタナ 5.2%
Eduardo Girão 4.0%
$55,543 Vol.
$55,543 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
$36,370 Vol.
68%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,382 Vol.
33%
カミロ・サンタナ
$3,305 Vol.
5%
Eduardo Girão
$3,172 Vol.
4%
Capitão Wagner
$4,334 Vol.
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,980 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas and his formal pre-candidacy launch in mid-May. Recent Genial/Quaest and Datafolha surveys from April and May show Gomes drawing 41-47 percent in first-round scenarios against Freitas at around 32 percent, bolstered by his prior governorship, broad name recognition, and new alliances including support from the PL and potential running mate Roberto Cláudio. Freitas retains backing within the PT base but trails in head-to-head matchups, while Camilo Santana registers lower probabilities as a non-declared contender. The October 4 first-round vote and possible runoff remain key milestones that could shift these dynamics amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
音量
$55,543終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas and his formal pre-candidacy launch in mid-May. Recent Genial/Quaest and Datafolha surveys from April and May show Gomes drawing 41-47 percent in first-round scenarios against Freitas at around 32 percent, bolstered by his prior governorship, broad name recognition, and new alliances including support from the PL and potential running mate Roberto Cláudio. Freitas retains backing within the PT base but trails in head-to-head matchups, while Camilo Santana registers lower probabilities as a non-declared contender. The October 4 first-round vote and possible runoff remain key milestones that could shift these dynamics amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$55,543終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas and his formal pre-candidacy launch in mid-May. Recent Genial/Quaest and Datafolha surveys from April and May show Gomes drawing 41-47 percent in first-round scenarios against Freitas at around 32 percent, bolstered by his prior governorship, broad name recognition, and new alliances including support from the PL and potential running mate Roberto Cláudio. Freitas retains backing within the PT base but trails in head-to-head matchups, while Camilo Santana registers lower probabilities as a non-declared contender. The October 4 first-round vote and possible runoff remain key milestones that could shift these dynamics amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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