Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) remain concentrated in Texas livestock, with USDA APHIS confirming the index case in a Zavala County calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional infestations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties. As of July 31, 2026, APHIS reported 37 domestically acquired animal cases nationwide, including one dog in New Mexico's Lea County but no verified livestock cases beyond Texas borders. Intensified border surveillance, sterile insect technique releases, and phased port reopenings (starting August 24 for Douglas, AZ) reflect ongoing containment efforts tied to northward pressure from Mexico. Key upcoming factors include regular APHIS dashboard updates on confirmed cases by county and species, plus any new model runs or field sampling results that could signal spread into adjacent states' cattle, goats, or sheep herds. Trader consensus hinges on whether control measures hold or surveillance identifies a livestock incursion elsewhere before resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
8月30日
29%
10月31日
50%
12月31日
59%
$4,465 Vol.
8月30日
$1,424 Vol.
29%
10月31日
$491 Vol.
50%
12月31日
$415 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) remain concentrated in Texas livestock, with USDA APHIS confirming the index case in a Zavala County calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional infestations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties. As of July 31, 2026, APHIS reported 37 domestically acquired animal cases nationwide, including one dog in New Mexico's Lea County but no verified livestock cases beyond Texas borders. Intensified border surveillance, sterile insect technique releases, and phased port reopenings (starting August 24 for Douglas, AZ) reflect ongoing containment efforts tied to northward pressure from Mexico. Key upcoming factors include regular APHIS dashboard updates on confirmed cases by county and species, plus any new model runs or field sampling results that could signal spread into adjacent states' cattle, goats, or sheep herds. Trader consensus hinges on whether control measures hold or surveillance identifies a livestock incursion elsewhere before resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
音量
$4,465マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) remain concentrated in Texas livestock, with USDA APHIS confirming the index case in a Zavala County calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional infestations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties. As of July 31, 2026, APHIS reported 37 domestically acquired animal cases nationwide, including one dog in New Mexico's Lea County but no verified livestock cases beyond Texas borders. Intensified border surveillance, sterile insect technique releases, and phased port reopenings (starting August 24 for Douglas, AZ) reflect ongoing containment efforts tied to northward pressure from Mexico. Key upcoming factors include regular APHIS dashboard updates on confirmed cases by county and species, plus any new model runs or field sampling results that could signal spread into adjacent states' cattle, goats, or sheep herds. Trader consensus hinges on whether control measures hold or surveillance identifies a livestock incursion elsewhere before resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$4,465マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) remain concentrated in Texas livestock, with USDA APHIS confirming the index case in a Zavala County calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional infestations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties. As of July 31, 2026, APHIS reported 37 domestically acquired animal cases nationwide, including one dog in New Mexico's Lea County but no verified livestock cases beyond Texas borders. Intensified border surveillance, sterile insect technique releases, and phased port reopenings (starting August 24 for Douglas, AZ) reflect ongoing containment efforts tied to northward pressure from Mexico. Key upcoming factors include regular APHIS dashboard updates on confirmed cases by county and species, plus any new model runs or field sampling results that could signal spread into adjacent states' cattle, goats, or sheep herds. Trader consensus hinges on whether control measures hold or surveillance identifies a livestock incursion elsewhere before resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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