Bia Kicis leads trader consensus for second place in the Distrito Federal's two-seat Senate race, reflecting recent polling patterns where she outperforms other contenders in second-preference votes. The latest Igape survey (mid-September) showed Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) ahead on first choices at 28%, with Bia Kicis (PL) topping second choices at 17% ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). Earlier Datafolha and Quaest releases similarly positioned the PL slate—formalized in August—as the main alternative to the incumbent PDT senator, amid a field of 13 registered candidates and declining but still substantial undecided voters. Election-day vote splitting between the two PL names and cross-party second preferences continue to shape the implied probabilities ahead of the October 4 ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ビア・キシス 65.0%
レイラ・ド・ヴォレイ 31%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ 4.3%
エリカ・コカイ <1%
$47,278 Vol.
$47,278 Vol.
2026/10/04
ビア・キシス
65%
レイラ・ド・ヴォレイ
31%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
4%
エリカ・コカイ
<1%
アヴェニール・ロサ
<1%
デイビッド・ホーン
<1%
グト・フェリシオ・ドス・サントス
<1%
マーリー
<1%
ギリェルメ・アモリム教授
<1%
ロナウド・フォンセカ
<1%
セバスチャン・コエーリョ
<1%
チアゴ
<1%
ザナタ
<1%
ビア・キシス 65.0%
レイラ・ド・ヴォレイ 31%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ 4.3%
エリカ・コカイ <1%
$47,278 Vol.
$47,278 Vol.
2026/10/04
ビア・キシス
$12,068 Vol.
65%
レイラ・ド・ヴォレイ
$16,364 Vol.
31%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$5,666 Vol.
4%
エリカ・コカイ
$7,281 Vol.
<1%
アヴェニール・ロサ
$437 Vol.
<1%
デイビッド・ホーン
$2,060 Vol.
<1%
グト・フェリシオ・ドス・サントス
$381 Vol.
<1%
マーリー
$392 Vol.
<1%
ギリェルメ・アモリム教授
$878 Vol.
<1%
ロナウド・フォンセカ
$407 Vol.
<1%
セバスチャン・コエーリョ
$381 Vol.
<1%
チアゴ
$546 Vol.
<1%
ザナタ
$417 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Bia Kicis leads trader consensus for second place in the Distrito Federal's two-seat Senate race, reflecting recent polling patterns where she outperforms other contenders in second-preference votes. The latest Igape survey (mid-September) showed Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) ahead on first choices at 28%, with Bia Kicis (PL) topping second choices at 17% ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). Earlier Datafolha and Quaest releases similarly positioned the PL slate—formalized in August—as the main alternative to the incumbent PDT senator, amid a field of 13 registered candidates and declining but still substantial undecided voters. Election-day vote splitting between the two PL names and cross-party second preferences continue to shape the implied probabilities ahead of the October 4 ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
音量
$47,278終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Bia Kicis leads trader consensus for second place in the Distrito Federal's two-seat Senate race, reflecting recent polling patterns where she outperforms other contenders in second-preference votes. The latest Igape survey (mid-September) showed Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) ahead on first choices at 28%, with Bia Kicis (PL) topping second choices at 17% ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). Earlier Datafolha and Quaest releases similarly positioned the PL slate—formalized in August—as the main alternative to the incumbent PDT senator, amid a field of 13 registered candidates and declining but still substantial undecided voters. Election-day vote splitting between the two PL names and cross-party second preferences continue to shape the implied probabilities ahead of the October 4 ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$47,278終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Bia Kicis leads trader consensus for second place in the Distrito Federal's two-seat Senate race, reflecting recent polling patterns where she outperforms other contenders in second-preference votes. The latest Igape survey (mid-September) showed Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) ahead on first choices at 28%, with Bia Kicis (PL) topping second choices at 17% ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). Earlier Datafolha and Quaest releases similarly positioned the PL slate—formalized in August—as the main alternative to the incumbent PDT senator, amid a field of 13 registered candidates and declining but still substantial undecided voters. Election-day vote splitting between the two PL names and cross-party second preferences continue to shape the implied probabilities ahead of the October 4 ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問