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icon for FL -27民主党予備選挙優勝者

FL -27民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for FL -27民主党予備選挙優勝者

FL -27民主党予備選挙優勝者

Polymarket

$15,546 Vol.

Polymarket

$15,546 Vol.

エリオット・ロドリゲス

$9,320 Vol.

82%

ロビン・ペゲロ

$6,226 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eliott Rodriguez holds an 81.5% implied probability in the FL-27 Democratic primary market, well ahead of Robin Peguero at 15.5%, with the August 18, 2026, contest now one day away. Rodriguez benefits from high name recognition as a longtime CBS Miami anchor, which has translated into stronger late-cycle momentum in a low-turnout primary. Peguero, a former federal prosecutor, raised over $1 million through June but trails in trader assessments despite competitive general-election polling earlier in the cycle. Other entrants withdrew, narrowing the field and reinforcing the two-candidate dynamic. The market's pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating recent fundraising data, candidate visibility, and the compressed timeline before primary ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$15,546
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Jul 26, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eliott Rodriguez holds an 81.5% implied probability in the FL-27 Democratic primary market, well ahead of Robin Peguero at 15.5%, with the August 18, 2026, contest now one day away. Rodriguez benefits from high name recognition as a longtime CBS Miami anchor, which has translated into stronger late-cycle momentum in a low-turnout primary. Peguero, a former federal prosecutor, raised over $1 million through June but trails in trader assessments despite competitive general-election polling earlier in the cycle. Other entrants withdrew, narrowing the field and reinforcing the two-candidate dynamic. The market's pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating recent fundraising data, candidate visibility, and the compressed timeline before primary ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$15,546
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Jul 26, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「FL -27民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「エリオット・ロドリゲス」で82%、次いで「ロビン・ペゲロ」が16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、82¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に82%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「FL -27民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$15.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「FL -27民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「FL -27民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「エリオット・ロドリゲス」で82%であり、市場がこの結果に82%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ロビン・ペゲロ」で16%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「FL -27民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。