Market participants have overwhelmingly settled on 20°C as Ankara’s daily maximum temperature for May 16, driven by verified observational data from official meteorological stations confirming this peak under stable high-pressure conditions across central Anatolia. Regional atmospheric patterns, including light winds and limited daytime insolation, prevented significant warming beyond typical mid-May climatology for the area. This consensus reflects the skin-in-the-game assessment of traders incorporating real-time station reports rather than model projections. Resolution now hinges on final certified readings, with minimal scope for revision given the absence of conflicting data or extreme microclimate effects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,454 Vol.
$65,454 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,454 Vol.
$65,454 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Market participants have overwhelmingly settled on 20°C as Ankara’s daily maximum temperature for May 16, driven by verified observational data from official meteorological stations confirming this peak under stable high-pressure conditions across central Anatolia. Regional atmospheric patterns, including light winds and limited daytime insolation, prevented significant warming beyond typical mid-May climatology for the area. This consensus reflects the skin-in-the-game assessment of traders incorporating real-time station reports rather than model projections. Resolution now hinges on final certified readings, with minimal scope for revision given the absence of conflicting data or extreme microclimate effects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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