The market's overwhelming 99.9% consensus on 23°C as Istanbul's highest temperature today reflects real-time forecast guidance from official meteorological agencies showing stable conditions under a typical early-summer high-pressure system, with daytime maxima aligning precisely to that threshold based on ensemble model runs and surface observations. Historical June averages for the region hover near 23–25°C, and current data show no anomalous warming or cooling influences such as strong advection or cloud cover shifts that would alter the peak. Resolution hinges on the final verified daily maximum from standardized stations, with minimal uncertainty remaining as the measurement window closes. Unexpected model revisions or localized urban heat effects remain the only realistic variables that could shift the outcome, though current consensus across agencies makes such deviations improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 9?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$47,886 Vol.
$47,886 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$47,886 Vol.
$47,886 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The market's overwhelming 99.9% consensus on 23°C as Istanbul's highest temperature today reflects real-time forecast guidance from official meteorological agencies showing stable conditions under a typical early-summer high-pressure system, with daytime maxima aligning precisely to that threshold based on ensemble model runs and surface observations. Historical June averages for the region hover near 23–25°C, and current data show no anomalous warming or cooling influences such as strong advection or cloud cover shifts that would alter the peak. Resolution hinges on the final verified daily maximum from standardized stations, with minimal uncertainty remaining as the measurement window closes. Unexpected model revisions or localized urban heat effects remain the only realistic variables that could shift the outcome, though current consensus across agencies makes such deviations improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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