Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on June 12?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 12?
34℃ 100.0%
30°C以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$92,221 Vol.
$92,221 Vol.
2026/06/12
30°C以下
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34℃
はい
35°C
いいえ
36℃
いいえ
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34℃ 100.0%
30°C以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$92,221 Vol.
$92,221 Vol.
2026/06/12
30°C以下
$609 Vol.
いいえ
31°C
$682 Vol.
いいえ
32°C
$5,655 Vol.
いいえ
33℃
$25,008 Vol.
いいえ
34℃
$33,669 Vol.
はい
35°C
$13,536 Vol.
いいえ
36℃
$8,158 Vol.
いいえ
37°C
$2,928 Vol.
No
38°C
$700 Vol.
No
39°C
$317 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$958 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
音量
$92,221終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$92,221終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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