Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Spanish Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C in Madrid today, supported by a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing warm advection from the south and maintaining clear skies with light winds. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, where typical highs range 21–23°C, yet the present synoptic pattern favors the cooler threshold. Numerical model consensus shows minimal spread around this value, with no significant shifts in the last 48 hours. Official resolution will rely on the Retiro station reading, and any deviation would require an unexpected influx of warmer air or measurement anomaly at that site.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,079 Vol.
$85,079 Vol.
2026/05/16
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,079 Vol.
$85,079 Vol.
2026/05/16
20°C
$10,938 Vol.
100%
21°C
$12,013 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$10,046 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,884 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,168 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,529 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Spanish Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C in Madrid today, supported by a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing warm advection from the south and maintaining clear skies with light winds. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, where typical highs range 21–23°C, yet the present synoptic pattern favors the cooler threshold. Numerical model consensus shows minimal spread around this value, with no significant shifts in the last 48 hours. Official resolution will rely on the Retiro station reading, and any deviation would require an unexpected influx of warmer air or measurement anomaly at that site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$85,079終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Spanish Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C in Madrid today, supported by a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing warm advection from the south and maintaining clear skies with light winds. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, where typical highs range 21–23°C, yet the present synoptic pattern favors the cooler threshold. Numerical model consensus shows minimal spread around this value, with no significant shifts in the last 48 hours. Official resolution will rely on the Retiro station reading, and any deviation would require an unexpected influx of warmer air or measurement anomaly at that site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$85,079終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Spanish Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C in Madrid today, supported by a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing warm advection from the south and maintaining clear skies with light winds. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, where typical highs range 21–23°C, yet the present synoptic pattern favors the cooler threshold. Numerical model consensus shows minimal spread around this value, with no significant shifts in the last 48 hours. Official resolution will rely on the Retiro station reading, and any deviation would require an unexpected influx of warmer air or measurement anomaly at that site.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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