Official forecasts from Météo-France and European model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions and northerly flow have kept daytime readings suppressed, aligning closely with seasonal norms for mid-May. Minor model disagreements exist on exact peak timing but remain within the 15–17°C range, leaving little room for upward revision. The primary resolution risk lies in post-forecast observational adjustments by official stations, though current data trends make any shift to 17°C or higher highly improbable before the daily close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月16日のパリの最高気温は？
5月16日のパリの最高気温は？
16℃ 100.0%
17°C <1%
18℃ <1%
19℃ <1%
$155,191 Vol.
$155,191 Vol.
2026/05/16
16℃
100%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C以上
<1%
16℃ 100.0%
17°C <1%
18℃ <1%
19℃ <1%
$155,191 Vol.
$155,191 Vol.
2026/05/16
16℃
$29,454 Vol.
100%
17°C
$32,148 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$10,666 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$3,864 Vol.
<1%
20°C以上
$3,059 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Météo-France and European model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions and northerly flow have kept daytime readings suppressed, aligning closely with seasonal norms for mid-May. Minor model disagreements exist on exact peak timing but remain within the 15–17°C range, leaving little room for upward revision. The primary resolution risk lies in post-forecast observational adjustments by official stations, though current data trends make any shift to 17°C or higher highly improbable before the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$155,191終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Météo-France and European model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions and northerly flow have kept daytime readings suppressed, aligning closely with seasonal norms for mid-May. Minor model disagreements exist on exact peak timing but remain within the 15–17°C range, leaving little room for upward revision. The primary resolution risk lies in post-forecast observational adjustments by official stations, though current data trends make any shift to 17°C or higher highly improbable before the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$155,191終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official forecasts from Météo-France and European model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions and northerly flow have kept daytime readings suppressed, aligning closely with seasonal norms for mid-May. Minor model disagreements exist on exact peak timing but remain within the 15–17°C range, leaving little room for upward revision. The primary resolution risk lies in post-forecast observational adjustments by official stations, though current data trends make any shift to 17°C or higher highly improbable before the daily close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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