United Russia secured a projected record 355 seats in the 450-seat State Duma following the September 18–20, 2026, legislative elections, driven by 57.8 percent support in the party-list vote and leads in 208 of 225 single-member districts. This outcome reflects the party's entrenched dominance in a tightly managed process that excluded significant opposition, combined with elevated turnout near 59 percent and official framing of the vote as a demonstration of national unity. The results maintain the party's constitutional majority well above the 301-seat threshold, consistent with historical patterns of incumbency advantage under the mixed electoral system. Final seat allocation remains subject to complete counting and any redistribution among qualifying parties that cleared the 5 percent threshold. Scenarios that could alter the tally include adjustments from remaining precincts, legal challenges to specific district results, or procedural reallocations, though preliminary data from the Central Election Commission strongly support the current projection.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2,440,563 Vol.
$2,440,563 Vol.
340–354
96%
355以上
3%
$2,440,563 Vol.
$2,440,563 Vol.
340–354
96%
355以上
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia secured a projected record 355 seats in the 450-seat State Duma following the September 18–20, 2026, legislative elections, driven by 57.8 percent support in the party-list vote and leads in 208 of 225 single-member districts. This outcome reflects the party's entrenched dominance in a tightly managed process that excluded significant opposition, combined with elevated turnout near 59 percent and official framing of the vote as a demonstration of national unity. The results maintain the party's constitutional majority well above the 301-seat threshold, consistent with historical patterns of incumbency advantage under the mixed electoral system. Final seat allocation remains subject to complete counting and any redistribution among qualifying parties that cleared the 5 percent threshold. Scenarios that could alter the tally include adjustments from remaining precincts, legal challenges to specific district results, or procedural reallocations, though preliminary data from the Central Election Commission strongly support the current projection.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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