Ongoing U.S.-Iran deadlock and naval restrictions have kept commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz at sharply reduced levels, with daily transits often in the single digits amid blockades, mine risks, and routing uncertainty. Recent mid-May crossings by a handful of tankers under Greek, Japanese, and other specific flags illustrate the selective permissions in place, while over 1,500 vessels remain stranded in the Gulf awaiting clearance. Trader consensus currently centers on 20-59 total transits for the week of May 18, reflecting these persistent constraints rather than any rapid return to pre-conflict volumes of roughly 100 vessels per day. Any easing of enforcement or new diplomatic signals could shift volumes upward, whereas further incidents would likely reinforce the lower ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日20-39 39%
40-59 29%
<20 23%
80+ 18%
新規
新規
2026/05/24
<20
23%
20-39
39%
40-59
29%
60-79
17%
80+
18%
20-39 39%
40-59 29%
<20 23%
80+ 18%
新規
新規
2026/05/24
<20
$56 Vol.
23%
20-39
$60 Vol.
39%
40-59
$36 Vol.
29%
60-79
$36 Vol.
17%
80+
$44 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 18, 2026, through May 24, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing U.S.-Iran deadlock and naval restrictions have kept commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz at sharply reduced levels, with daily transits often in the single digits amid blockades, mine risks, and routing uncertainty. Recent mid-May crossings by a handful of tankers under Greek, Japanese, and other specific flags illustrate the selective permissions in place, while over 1,500 vessels remain stranded in the Gulf awaiting clearance. Trader consensus currently centers on 20-59 total transits for the week of May 18, reflecting these persistent constraints rather than any rapid return to pre-conflict volumes of roughly 100 vessels per day. Any easing of enforcement or new diplomatic signals could shift volumes upward, whereas further incidents would likely reinforce the lower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 18, 2026, through May 24, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
マーケット開始日： May 18, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
音量
$232終了日
2026/05/24マーケット開始日
May 18, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 18, 2026, through May 24, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing U.S.-Iran deadlock and naval restrictions have kept commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz at sharply reduced levels, with daily transits often in the single digits amid blockades, mine risks, and routing uncertainty. Recent mid-May crossings by a handful of tankers under Greek, Japanese, and other specific flags illustrate the selective permissions in place, while over 1,500 vessels remain stranded in the Gulf awaiting clearance. Trader consensus currently centers on 20-59 total transits for the week of May 18, reflecting these persistent constraints rather than any rapid return to pre-conflict volumes of roughly 100 vessels per day. Any easing of enforcement or new diplomatic signals could shift volumes upward, whereas further incidents would likely reinforce the lower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 18, 2026, through May 24, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
音量
$232終了日
2026/05/24マーケット開始日
May 18, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing U.S.-Iran deadlock and naval restrictions have kept commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz at sharply reduced levels, with daily transits often in the single digits amid blockades, mine risks, and routing uncertainty. Recent mid-May crossings by a handful of tankers under Greek, Japanese, and other specific flags illustrate the selective permissions in place, while over 1,500 vessels remain stranded in the Gulf awaiting clearance. Trader consensus currently centers on 20-59 total transits for the week of May 18, reflecting these persistent constraints rather than any rapid return to pre-conflict volumes of roughly 100 vessels per day. Any easing of enforcement or new diplomatic signals could shift volumes upward, whereas further incidents would likely reinforce the lower ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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