Vice President JD Vance has assumed a leading role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts aimed at securing a durable ceasefire and nuclear safeguards, including a high-profile round of talks in Islamabad in April 2026 that produced no final agreement after 21 hours of negotiations. On May 13, Vance publicly stated that progress continues despite President Trump’s rejection of Tehran’s latest proposal, with U.S. red lines centered on verifiable limits preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. These direct, high-level engagements, supported by figures such as Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, reflect active bilateral diplomacy amid an existing ceasefire whose extension remains under discussion. Trader assessments of any additional meeting by a specific deadline hinge on whether further rounds produce concrete outcomes before scheduled diplomatic deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$124,492 Vol.
2026/06/30
May 31
9%
June 30
31%
$124,492 Vol.
May 31
$51,141 Vol.
9%
June 30
$17,512 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has assumed a leading role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts aimed at securing a durable ceasefire and nuclear safeguards, including a high-profile round of talks in Islamabad in April 2026 that produced no final agreement after 21 hours of negotiations. On May 13, Vance publicly stated that progress continues despite President Trump’s rejection of Tehran’s latest proposal, with U.S. red lines centered on verifiable limits preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. These direct, high-level engagements, supported by figures such as Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, reflect active bilateral diplomacy amid an existing ceasefire whose extension remains under discussion. Trader assessments of any additional meeting by a specific deadline hinge on whether further rounds produce concrete outcomes before scheduled diplomatic deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
音量
$124,492終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has assumed a leading role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts aimed at securing a durable ceasefire and nuclear safeguards, including a high-profile round of talks in Islamabad in April 2026 that produced no final agreement after 21 hours of negotiations. On May 13, Vance publicly stated that progress continues despite President Trump’s rejection of Tehran’s latest proposal, with U.S. red lines centered on verifiable limits preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. These direct, high-level engagements, supported by figures such as Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, reflect active bilateral diplomacy amid an existing ceasefire whose extension remains under discussion. Trader assessments of any additional meeting by a specific deadline hinge on whether further rounds produce concrete outcomes before scheduled diplomatic deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$124,492終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has assumed a leading role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts aimed at securing a durable ceasefire and nuclear safeguards, including a high-profile round of talks in Islamabad in April 2026 that produced no final agreement after 21 hours of negotiations. On May 13, Vance publicly stated that progress continues despite President Trump’s rejection of Tehran’s latest proposal, with U.S. red lines centered on verifiable limits preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. These direct, high-level engagements, supported by figures such as Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, reflect active bilateral diplomacy amid an existing ceasefire whose extension remains under discussion. Trader assessments of any additional meeting by a specific deadline hinge on whether further rounds produce concrete outcomes before scheduled diplomatic deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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