Eduardo Paes (PSD) leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 34-60% across first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting his record as mayor on tourism recovery and urban management plus a broad coalition that includes center-right allies for vice-governor. Recent developments include his February 2026 resignation announcement from city hall to focus on the October 4 election, ongoing ticket-building talks with regional figures, and the resignation of incumbent Cláudio Castro, which has not altered Paes’s frontrunner status. Lower probabilities for challengers such as Douglas Ruas (PL), Tarcísio Motta, and Anthony Garotinho align with their single-digit to low-teen polling shares amid limited consolidation of opposition support. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant drivers ahead of the first-round vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エドゥアルド・パエス 86%
フェリペ・クリ 8.5%
ダグラス・ルアス 3.7%
ルイジーニョ博士 <1%
$192,503 Vol.
$192,503 Vol.
エドゥアルド・パエス
86%
フェリペ・クリ
8%
ダグラス・ルアス
4%
ルイジーニョ博士
1%
エドゥアルド・パズエロ
<1%
タルシージオ・モッタ
<1%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ
<1%
アンドレ・セシリアーノ
<1%
ウィルソン・ウィッツェル
<1%
アンドレ・ポルトゥゲス
<1%
フレッド・パシェコ
<1%
ニコラ・ミッチョーネ
<1%
リンドバーグ・ファリアス
<1%
シコ・マシャード
<1%
エドゥアルド・パエス 86%
フェリペ・クリ 8.5%
ダグラス・ルアス 3.7%
ルイジーニョ博士 <1%
$192,503 Vol.
$192,503 Vol.
エドゥアルド・パエス
86%
フェリペ・クリ
8%
ダグラス・ルアス
4%
ルイジーニョ博士
1%
エドゥアルド・パズエロ
<1%
タルシージオ・モッタ
<1%
アントニー・ガロチーニョ
<1%
アンドレ・セシリアーノ
<1%
ウィルソン・ウィッツェル
<1%
アンドレ・ポルトゥゲス
<1%
フレッド・パシェコ
<1%
ニコラ・ミッチョーネ
<1%
リンドバーグ・ファリアス
<1%
シコ・マシャード
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes (PSD) leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 34-60% across first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting his record as mayor on tourism recovery and urban management plus a broad coalition that includes center-right allies for vice-governor. Recent developments include his February 2026 resignation announcement from city hall to focus on the October 4 election, ongoing ticket-building talks with regional figures, and the resignation of incumbent Cláudio Castro, which has not altered Paes’s frontrunner status. Lower probabilities for challengers such as Douglas Ruas (PL), Tarcísio Motta, and Anthony Garotinho align with their single-digit to low-teen polling shares amid limited consolidation of opposition support. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant drivers ahead of the first-round vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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