Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a commanding lead in the Polymarket market at 90.5%. Recent polls from firms including Mapa, Neokemp, and Veritá consistently show him at 54-71% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merísio, Décio Lima (PT), and others. This positioning stems from his 2022 landslide victory, strong approval tied to state economic performance and security measures, and recent coalition expansions including PSDB endorsement. Trader consensus reflects these factors plus opposition disarray in Brazil's conservative southern state, with limited realistic paths to alter the outcome absent major late developments like scandals or sudden opposition consolidation within the remaining campaign window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジョルジーニョ・メロ 87%
マルセロ・ブリガデイロ 5.3%
ジョアン・ロドリゲス 4.9%
ジェルソン・メリジオ <1%
$87,721 Vol.
$87,721 Vol.
ジョルジーニョ・メロ
87%
マルセロ・ブリガデイロ
5%
ジョアン・ロドリゲス
5%
ジェルソン・メリジオ
<1%
アフラニオ・ボプレ
<1%
マルコス・ヴィエイラ
<1%
デシオ・リマ
<1%
アドリアーノ・シルバ
<1%
ジョルジーニョ・メロ 87%
マルセロ・ブリガデイロ 5.3%
ジョアン・ロドリゲス 4.9%
ジェルソン・メリジオ <1%
$87,721 Vol.
$87,721 Vol.
ジョルジーニョ・メロ
87%
マルセロ・ブリガデイロ
5%
ジョアン・ロドリゲス
5%
ジェルソン・メリジオ
<1%
アフラニオ・ボプレ
<1%
マルコス・ヴィエイラ
<1%
デシオ・リマ
<1%
アドリアーノ・シルバ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a commanding lead in the Polymarket market at 90.5%. Recent polls from firms including Mapa, Neokemp, and Veritá consistently show him at 54-71% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merísio, Décio Lima (PT), and others. This positioning stems from his 2022 landslide victory, strong approval tied to state economic performance and security measures, and recent coalition expansions including PSDB endorsement. Trader consensus reflects these factors plus opposition disarray in Brazil's conservative southern state, with limited realistic paths to alter the outcome absent major late developments like scandals or sudden opposition consolidation within the remaining campaign window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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