Recent polling averages place Kristdemokraterna (KD) in the 5–7% range, reflecting modest gains from earlier 2026 surveys that hovered near or below 5% while the party serves in the Tidö coalition government alongside the Moderates and Liberals with Sweden Democrats support. August surveys, including Demoskop at 7.5%, show KD benefiting from steady voter consolidation on the center-right amid broader bloc competition, though the opposition red-green parties maintain a consistent lead overall. The September 13 election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts, with KD's performance tied to turnout among conservative and Christian-leaning voters and the stability of coalition dynamics. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow band as the most probable outcome based on current trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5～7％ 45%
7〜9％ 26%
5％未満 17%
9％以上 9.3%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
5％未満
17%
5～7％
45%
7〜9％
26%
9％以上
9%
5～7％ 45%
7〜9％ 26%
5％未満 17%
9％以上 9.3%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
5％未満
$187 Vol.
17%
5～7％
$4,662 Vol.
45%
7〜9％
$452 Vol.
26%
9％以上
$179 Vol.
9%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Kristdemokraterna (KD) in the 5–7% range, reflecting modest gains from earlier 2026 surveys that hovered near or below 5% while the party serves in the Tidö coalition government alongside the Moderates and Liberals with Sweden Democrats support. August surveys, including Demoskop at 7.5%, show KD benefiting from steady voter consolidation on the center-right amid broader bloc competition, though the opposition red-green parties maintain a consistent lead overall. The September 13 election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts, with KD's performance tied to turnout among conservative and Christian-leaning voters and the stability of coalition dynamics. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow band as the most probable outcome based on current trends.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
音量
$5,480終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Kristdemokraterna (KD) in the 5–7% range, reflecting modest gains from earlier 2026 surveys that hovered near or below 5% while the party serves in the Tidö coalition government alongside the Moderates and Liberals with Sweden Democrats support. August surveys, including Demoskop at 7.5%, show KD benefiting from steady voter consolidation on the center-right amid broader bloc competition, though the opposition red-green parties maintain a consistent lead overall. The September 13 election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts, with KD's performance tied to turnout among conservative and Christian-leaning voters and the stability of coalition dynamics. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow band as the most probable outcome based on current trends.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$5,480終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Kristdemokraterna (KD) in the 5–7% range, reflecting modest gains from earlier 2026 surveys that hovered near or below 5% while the party serves in the Tidö coalition government alongside the Moderates and Liberals with Sweden Democrats support. August surveys, including Demoskop at 7.5%, show KD benefiting from steady voter consolidation on the center-right amid broader bloc competition, though the opposition red-green parties maintain a consistent lead overall. The September 13 election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts, with KD's performance tied to turnout among conservative and Christian-leaning voters and the stability of coalition dynamics. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow band as the most probable outcome based on current trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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