Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated by Pakistan following the April 2026 ceasefire and initial Islamabad talks, represent the primary driver of trader expectations for attendance at the next diplomatic meeting. US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, led prior sessions without a final agreement on sanctions relief, nuclear limits, or Strait of Hormuz access. Iran's formal response to a US peace proposal submitted via Pakistani channels on May 10 advances the process toward potential follow-up rounds, though no date or expanded participant list has been confirmed. The framework remains focused on a short-term memorandum to end active conflict before broader verification talks, leaving room for adjustments if core sticking points shift or new mediators become involved.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,184,874 Vol.
2026/06/30
ドナルド・トランプ
4%
マルコ・ルビオ
9%
J.D.バンス
23%
ジャレッド・クシュナー
35%
スティーブ・ウィットコフ
46%
$1,184,874 Vol.
ドナルド・トランプ
$216,553 Vol.
4%
マルコ・ルビオ
$90,718 Vol.
9%
J.D.バンス
$652,808 Vol.
23%
ジャレッド・クシュナー
$123,115 Vol.
35%
スティーブ・ウィットコフ
$101,681 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated by Pakistan following the April 2026 ceasefire and initial Islamabad talks, represent the primary driver of trader expectations for attendance at the next diplomatic meeting. US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, led prior sessions without a final agreement on sanctions relief, nuclear limits, or Strait of Hormuz access. Iran's formal response to a US peace proposal submitted via Pakistani channels on May 10 advances the process toward potential follow-up rounds, though no date or expanded participant list has been confirmed. The framework remains focused on a short-term memorandum to end active conflict before broader verification talks, leaving room for adjustments if core sticking points shift or new mediators become involved.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
音量
$1,184,874終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated by Pakistan following the April 2026 ceasefire and initial Islamabad talks, represent the primary driver of trader expectations for attendance at the next diplomatic meeting. US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, led prior sessions without a final agreement on sanctions relief, nuclear limits, or Strait of Hormuz access. Iran's formal response to a US peace proposal submitted via Pakistani channels on May 10 advances the process toward potential follow-up rounds, though no date or expanded participant list has been confirmed. The framework remains focused on a short-term memorandum to end active conflict before broader verification talks, leaving room for adjustments if core sticking points shift or new mediators become involved.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,184,874終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated by Pakistan following the April 2026 ceasefire and initial Islamabad talks, represent the primary driver of trader expectations for attendance at the next diplomatic meeting. US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, led prior sessions without a final agreement on sanctions relief, nuclear limits, or Strait of Hormuz access. Iran's formal response to a US peace proposal submitted via Pakistani channels on May 10 advances the process toward potential follow-up rounds, though no date or expanded participant list has been confirmed. The framework remains focused on a short-term memorandum to end active conflict before broader verification talks, leaving room for adjustments if core sticking points shift or new mediators become involved.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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