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icon for 次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？
政治·中東

次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？

icon for 次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？
政治·中東

次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ 40%

ナフタリ・ベネット 39%

ガディ・アイゼンコット 11.3%

アヴィグドル・リーベルマン 3.5%

Polymarket

$9,470,702 Vol.

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ 40%

ナフタリ・ベネット 39%

ガディ・アイゼンコット 11.3%

アヴィグドル・リーベルマン 3.5%

Polymarket

$9,470,702 Vol.

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ

$751,998 Vol.

40%

ナフタリ・ベネット

$1,408,584 Vol.

39%

ガディ・アイゼンコット

$749,605 Vol.

11%

アヴィグドル・リーベルマン

$658,691 Vol.

3%

ヤイール・ラピド

$514,045 Vol.

1%

イスラエル・カッツ

$163,782 Vol.

1%

イタマール・ベン・グヴィル

$339,845 Vol.

<1%

アイェレット・シャケド

$549,297 Vol.

<1%

アミール・オハナ

$340,466 Vol.

<1%

ベニー・ガンツ

$349,078 Vol.

<1%

ヨッシ・コーヘン

$614,970 Vol.

<1%

ヤリブ・レヴィン

$467,843 Vol.

<1%

ヤイール・ゴラン

$485,990 Vol.

<1%

ギデオン・サール

$726,325 Vol.

<1%

モーシェ・フェイグリン

$520,392 Vol.

<1%

ヨアズ・ヘンデル

$541,400 Vol.

<1%

ニル・バルカット

$288,402 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent merger of Naftali Bennett’s and Yair Lapid’s parties into a unified “Together” slate, announced in late April, has positioned the right-wing former prime minister as a direct challenger to incumbent Benjamin Netanyahu, tightening trader probabilities ahead of legislative elections now potentially set for late summer or October. Netanyahu’s coalition’s May push to dissolve the Knesset and advance the vote has added urgency, while ongoing coalition fragility and polling that shows the new alliance slightly ahead of Likud underscore the fragmented parliamentary math. Gadi Eizenkot’s possible inclusion in the opposition bloc further spreads support across centrist and security-focused voters, leaving both leading contenders vulnerable to last-minute shifts in alliances or turnout among key blocs.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$9,470,702
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent merger of Naftali Bennett’s and Yair Lapid’s parties into a unified “Together” slate, announced in late April, has positioned the right-wing former prime minister as a direct challenger to incumbent Benjamin Netanyahu, tightening trader probabilities ahead of legislative elections now potentially set for late summer or October. Netanyahu’s coalition’s May push to dissolve the Knesset and advance the vote has added urgency, while ongoing coalition fragility and polling that shows the new alliance slightly ahead of Likud underscore the fragmented parliamentary math. Gadi Eizenkot’s possible inclusion in the opposition bloc further spreads support across centrist and security-focused voters, leaving both leading contenders vulnerable to last-minute shifts in alliances or turnout among key blocs.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$9,470,702
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ」で40%、次いで「ナフタリ・ベネット」が39%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、40¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に40%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」は$9.5 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 15, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ」で40%であり、市場がこの結果に40%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ナフタリ・ベネット」で39%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次の選挙後のイスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのでしょうか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。